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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction (Mar 31, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens — Mar 31, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 30, 2026 01:01 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 57.2% • Montreal Canadiens 42.8%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 2.11 — Montreal Canadiens 3.85 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.79
xG/game (Season)
Montreal Canadiens
3.61
xG/game (Season)