Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Apr 02, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Apr 02, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 58.1% • Pittsburgh Penguins 41.9%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 2.75 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.15 • Median total: 5.9