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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction (Apr 04, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins — Apr 04, 2026

Model last updated: Apr 04, 2026 12:37 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 59.2% • Boston Bruins 40.8%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.46 — Boston Bruins 3.42 • Median total: 7.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.80
xG/game (Season)
Boston Bruins
3.22
xG/game (Season)