Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 07, 2026)

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 07, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Ottawa Senators 56.5% • Tampa Bay Lightning 43.5%

Expected goals: Ottawa Senators 3.08 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.35 • Median total: 6.4