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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction (Apr 08, 2026)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals — Apr 08, 2026

Model last updated: Apr 08, 2026 12:41 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 63.3% • Washington Capitals 36.7%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.42 — Washington Capitals 2.85 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.14
xG/game (Season)
Washington Capitals
3.55
xG/game (Season)