Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 09, 2026)

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 09, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Montreal Canadiens 56.9% • Tampa Bay Lightning 43.1%

Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens 3.89 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.99 • Median total: 7.0