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Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 11, 2026)

Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 11, 2026

Model last updated: Apr 11, 2026 02:21 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Boston Bruins 60.7% • Tampa Bay Lightning 39.3%

Expected goals: Boston Bruins 3.18 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.99 • Median total: 6.2

Expected Goals Comparison

Boston Bruins
3.18
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.74
xG/game (Season)