Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction (Oct 05, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers — Oct 05, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 50.6% • Philadelphia Flyers 49.4%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 1.61 — Philadelphia Flyers 4.01 • Median total: 6.0