Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Oct 20, 2026)

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Oct 20, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Vegas Golden Knights 42.5% • Tampa Bay Lightning 57.5%

Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights 3.00 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.84 • Median total: 6.4