Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction (Dec 21, 2026)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals — Dec 21, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 40.9% • Washington Capitals 59.1%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 2.77 — Washington Capitals 2.75 • Median total: 6.5