Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction (Jan 16, 2027)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — Jan 16, 2027

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 48.0% • Ottawa Senators 52.0%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 1.92 — Ottawa Senators 4.07 • Median total: 6.5