Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 20, 2025)
Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 20, 2025
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning.
Dallas Stars 44.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 55.7%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Dallas Stars 3.06 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.18 • Median total: 6.3
Expected Goals Comparison
Dallas Stars
3.32
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.