Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 23, 2025)
Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 23, 2025
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning.
Vegas Golden Knights 71.7%
Tampa Bay Lightning 28.3%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights 3.88 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.84 • Median total: 6.3
Expected Goals Comparison
Vegas Golden Knights
3.44
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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