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2026-27 Preseason

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 01, 2025)

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 01, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on New York Islanders and Tampa Bay Lightning.

New York Islanders 44.4% Tampa Bay Lightning 55.6%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: New York Islanders 3.21 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.16 • Median total: 6.4

Expected Goals Comparison

New York Islanders
3.27
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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