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2026-27 Preseason

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 03, 2025)

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 03, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Ottawa Senators 46.1% Tampa Bay Lightning 53.9%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Ottawa Senators 2.96 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.18 • Median total: 6.2

Expected Goals Comparison

Ottawa Senators
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)