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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction (Apr 17, 2025)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings — Apr 17, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings.

Toronto Maple Leafs 61.7% Detroit Red Wings 38.3%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.46 — Detroit Red Wings 2.69 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Detroit Red Wings
3.29
xG/game (Season)