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2026-27 Preseason

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 28, 2025)

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 28, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Florida Panthers 59.6% Tampa Bay Lightning 40.4%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Florida Panthers 2.91 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.07 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Florida Panthers
3.32
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)