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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction (Oct 26, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights — Oct 26, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Vegas Golden Knights.

Tampa Bay Lightning 61.4% Vegas Golden Knights 38.6%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.12 — Vegas Golden Knights 3.41 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Vegas Golden Knights
3.44
xG/game (Season)