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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Model Odds (Jan 23, 2026) | NHLForecasts

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights — Jan 23, 2026

Model last updated: Jan 23, 2026 11:41 AM PST; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 68.2% • Vegas Golden Knights 31.8%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.40 — Vegas Golden Knights 3.01 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
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xG/game (Season)
Vegas Golden Knights
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xG/game (Season)