Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction (Feb 28, 2026)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators — Feb 28, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 45.2% • Ottawa Senators 54.8%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 2.28 — Ottawa Senators 2.84 • Median total: 5.0