Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction (Apr 21, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens — Apr 21, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 53.7% • Montreal Canadiens 46.3%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.10 — Montreal Canadiens 2.75 • Median total: 5.1