Arizona Coyotes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-10-14 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 48.6%

ARI: 51.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.94

ARI: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

ARI

C. Hutton

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	38	36	2	94.7%	3.47	0	1.47
ARI	C. Hutton	26	18	8	69.2%	2.32	1	-5.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-26	ARI 6 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2023-11-16	CBJ 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-19	ARI 3 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2022-10-25	CBJ 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	CBJ
2021-11-18	ARI 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.67
1	ARI	17	0	0.95
2	CBJ	13	1	0.90
2	ARI	19	0	1.14
3	CBJ	9	0	0.75
3	ARI	22	0	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 8 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5