Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-10-14 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 45.4%

VGK: 54.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.01

VGK: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

C. Petersen

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	25	23	2	92.0%	1.95	0	-0.05
VGK	R. Lehner	47	41	6	87.2%	3.82	3	-2.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • LAK at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	21	2	1.24
1	VGK	13	0	0.83
2	LAK	17	0	1.30
2	VGK	13	0	0.86
3	LAK	24	1	1.28
3	VGK	6	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9