Seattle Kraken at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-10-16 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 48.9%

SEA: 51.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.82

SEA: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	20	19	1	95.0%	1.70	0	0.70
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	23	2	92.0%	2.13	0	0.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CBJ	7	0.37
1	SEA	7	0.16
2	CBJ	13	0.71
2	SEA	15	0.98
3	CBJ	15	0.89
3	SEA	10	0.53
4	CBJ	2	0.17
4	SEA	1	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2