Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2021-10-18 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

PHI: 59.0%

SEA: 41.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.31

SEA: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 35%

PHI

C. Hart

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	24	23	1	95.8%	2.43	1	1.43
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	21	6	77.8%	2.94	0	-3.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	20	0	1.55
1	SEA	10	1	0.74
2	PHI	8	0	0.84
2	SEA	13	0	0.91
3	PHI	10	0	0.55
3	SEA	9	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5