St. Louis Blues at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-10-18 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 7 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 57.5%

STL: 42.5%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.02

STL: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 39%

ARI

C. Hutton

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Hutton	33	26	7	78.8%	2.79	1	-4.21
STL	Jordan Binnington	26	22	4	84.6%	2.36	1	-1.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • ARI at home vs STL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-02	ARI 4 - 1 STL	ARI	ARI
2023-11-22	ARI 5 - 6 STL	STL	ARI
2023-11-09	STL 2 - 1 ARI	STL	ARI
2023-10-19	STL 2 - 6 ARI	ARI	STL
2023-03-07	ARI 6 - 2 STL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	11	0	0.54
1	STL	11	0	0.64
2	ARI	13	1	0.90
2	STL	18	0	1.31
3	ARI	15	0	0.92
3	STL	14	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 7 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 2.1