Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-10-19 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 5 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 68.0%

WPG: 32.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.32

WPG: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 37%

MIN

C. Talbot

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	30	25	5	83.3%	2.36	0	-2.64
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	44	38	6	86.4%	3.60	1	-2.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • MIN at home vs WPG: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.91
1	WPG	13	0	0.76
2	MIN	16	0	1.02
2	WPG	17	0	0.79
3	MIN	23	1	1.44
3	WPG	7	0	0.41
4	MIN	2	0	0.24
4	WPG	4	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5