Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

MTL: 40.2%

CAR: 59.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.85

CAR: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

MTL

J. Allen

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	33	29	4	87.9%	3.05	2	-0.95
CAR	Frederik Andersen	28	27	1	96.4%	2.80	1	1.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.49
1	CAR	14	0	0.81
2	MTL	16	0	1.06
2	CAR	12	0	0.57
3	MTL	14	1	1.25
3	CAR	18	2	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.8