Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

FLA: 64.7%

COL: 35.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.25

COL: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

COL

J. Johansson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	30	1	96.8%	2.07	1	1.07
COL	J. Johansson	38	34	4	89.5%	3.85	3	-0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • FLA at home vs COL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	FLA 2 - 1 COL	FLA	FLA
2025-12-11	COL 6 - 2 FLA	COL	COL
2025-01-06	COL 3 - 1 FLA	COL	FLA
2024-11-23	FLA 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-02-10	FLA 4 - 0 COL	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	1	1.04
1	COL	13	0	0.61
2	FLA	27	1	1.54
2	COL	16	1	1.02
3	FLA	12	1	1.27
3	COL	8	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8