New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 New York Islanders (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 58.7%

NYI: 41.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.85

NYI: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	36	34	2	94.4%	3.31	2	1.31
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	32	29	3	90.6%	3.37	4	0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	16	0	0.97
1	NYI	15	0	0.91
2	CBJ	9	1	0.68
2	NYI	18	2	1.27
3	CBJ	15	2	1.13
3	NYI	11	0	0.82
4	CBJ	3	1	0.59
4	NYI	3	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1