Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WPG: 62.3%

ANA: 37.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.28

ANA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	39	38	1	97.4%	3.21	1	2.21
ANA	John Gibson	27	22	5	81.5%	3.05	2	-1.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs ANA: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	6	0	0.27
1	ANA	11	0	0.71
2	WPG	17	0	0.99
2	ANA	24	1	1.75
3	WPG	15	2	1.79
3	ANA	15	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9