Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2021-10-22 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 51.7%

LAK: 48.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.04

LAK: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

DAL

B. Holtby

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	B. Holtby	45	43	2	95.6%	4.01	1	2.01
LAK	J. Quick	23	20	3	87.0%	2.26	0	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	0	0.30
1	LAK	17	1	1.15
2	DAL	7	0	0.54
2	LAK	24	0	1.54
3	DAL	15	0	0.85
3	LAK	13	0	0.63
4	DAL	5	0	0.57
4	LAK	6	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0