Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PHI: 44.2%

FLA: 55.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.87

FLA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

PHI

C. Hart

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	31	27	4	87.1%	5.06	5	1.06
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	27	2	93.1%	2.78	1	0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs FLA: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	FLA
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	0	0.46
1	FLA	13	0	0.75
2	PHI	16	1	1.12
2	FLA	20	1	1.42
3	PHI	15	0	1.20
3	FLA	17	4	2.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1