Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 42.0%

NSH: 58.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.15

NSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 34%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	30	26	4	86.7%	3.27	0	-0.73
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	23	6	79.3%	4.22	5	-1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NSH: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	0	1.03
1	NSH	10	0	0.69
2	WPG	18	4	1.95
2	NSH	12	0	0.63
3	WPG	9	1	1.25
3	NSH	27	0	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3