New York Islanders at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 58.7%

NYI: 41.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.30

NYI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	24	21	3	87.5%	1.52	0	-1.48
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	26	26	0	100.0%	1.47	0	1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ARI at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-04	ARI 1 - 5 NYI	NYI	ARI
2023-10-17	NYI 1 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI
2022-12-16	ARI 5 - 4 NYI	ARI	NYI
2022-11-10	NYI 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	NYI
2022-01-21	NYI 4 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ARI	10	0.17
1	NYI	8	0.11
2	ARI	14	0.72
2	NYI	13	0.72
3	ARI	14	0.58
3	NYI	13	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0