San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2021-10-26 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 68.6%
SJS: 31.4%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.67
SJS: 3.43
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
SJS
J. Reimer
| Stat | NSH | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 29 | 28 | 1 | 96.6% | 2.81 | 1 | 1.81 |
| SJS | J. Reimer | 26 | 23 | 3 | 88.5% | 2.72 | 1 | -0.28 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs SJS: 7-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | NSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-04-04 | SJS 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | SJS |
| 2026-03-24 | NSH 6 - 3 SJS | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-11 | SJS 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SJS 5 - 6 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 1 | SJS | 12 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 2 | NSH | 17 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 3 | NSH | 7 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 3 | SJS | 13 | 0 | 0.72 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.7 - 3.4
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