Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-10-26 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 50.0%

MTL: 50.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.54

MTL: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	24	23	1	95.8%	1.91	0	0.91
MTL	J. Allen	26	21	5	80.8%	2.41	1	-2.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	0.90
1	MTL	10	0	0.84
2	SEA	11	0	0.91
2	MTL	10	0	0.51
3	SEA	10	0	0.60
3	MTL	10	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1