Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-10-28 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 61.5%

BOS: 38.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.24

BOS: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	33	33	0	100.0%	3.68	4	3.68
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	24	21	3	87.5%	4.03	3	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.40
1	BOS	14	1	1.06
2	CAR	16	1	0.99
2	BOS	15	1	0.68
3	CAR	8	2	1.64
3	BOS	20	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0