Arizona Coyotes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2021-10-29 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

WSH: 70.6%

ARI: 29.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.52

ARI: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

WSH

I. Samsonov

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	I. Samsonov	16	16	0	100.0%	1.47	0	1.47
ARI	K. Vejmelka	32	30	2	93.8%	2.91	2	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-03	WSH 2 - 5 ARI	ARI	WSH
2023-12-04	ARI 6 - 0 WSH	ARI	ARI
2023-01-19	ARI 0 - 4 WSH	WSH	ARI
2022-11-05	WSH 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	WSH
2022-04-22	ARI 0 - 2 WSH	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	18	0	0.92
1	ARI	5	0	0.24
2	WSH	19	0	0.78
2	ARI	8	0	0.63
3	WSH	10	2	1.21
3	ARI	8	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9