New York Islanders at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 New York Islanders (SO)

Win Probability

NSH: 59.4%

NYI: 40.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.26

NYI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	35	2	94.6%	2.02	0	0.02
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	26	22	4	84.6%	4.42	3	0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs NYI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH
2024-04-06	NYI 2 - 0 NSH	NYI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	19	0	1.30
1	NYI	15	0	0.42
2	NSH	9	0	0.30
2	NYI	17	0	0.86
3	NSH	10	1	0.68
3	NYI	11	0	0.52
4	NSH	4	0	0.60
4	NYI	1	0	0.10
5	NSH	3	2	1.55
5	NYI	2	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0