Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 48.5%

MIN: 51.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.90

MIN: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

COL

D. Kuemper

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	30	29	1	96.7%	1.97	1	0.97
MIN	C. Talbot	31	27	4	87.1%	3.16	1	-0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs MIN: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	1.35
1	MIN	13	0	0.46
2	COL	12	0	0.66
2	MIN	17	1	1.06
3	COL	11	1	1.15
3	MIN	9	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0