Montreal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

LAK: 62.2%

MTL: 37.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.83

MTL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

C. Petersen

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	28	26	2	92.9%	2.75	1	0.75
MTL	J. Allen	38	33	5	86.8%	3.97	2	-1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • LAK at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	0	0.84
1	MTL	12	0	0.96
2	LAK	18	1	1.54
2	MTL	15	0	0.83
3	LAK	17	1	1.59
3	MTL	11	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9