Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2021-10-30 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 51.1%
WPG: 48.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.91
WPG: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
J. Reimer
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | SJS | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | J. Reimer | 35 | 34 | 1 | 97.1% | 2.78 | 1 | 1.78 |
| WPG | Connor Hellebuyck | 36 | 34 | 2 | 94.4% | 3.48 | 1 | 1.48 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs WPG: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | WPG 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | WPG |
| 2026-03-01 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2 - 1 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-17 | SJS 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 17 | 0 | 1.58 |
| 1 | WPG | 21 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 2 | SJS | 19 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 2 | WPG | 11 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 3 | SJS | 8 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 3 | WPG | 21 | 0 | 1.13 |
| 4 | SJS | 3 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 4 | WPG | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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