Columbus Blue Jackets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2021-10-31 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 53.3%
CBJ: 46.7%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.70
CBJ: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
S. Wedgewood
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
| Stat | NJD | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | S. Wedgewood | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 3.26 | 1 | -0.74 |
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 42 | 39 | 3 | 92.9% | 3.28 | 0 | 0.28 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs CBJ: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | NJD 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | NJD |
| 2025-12-31 | CBJ 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | CBJ |
| 2025-12-01 | NJD 3 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | NJD |
| 2025-10-13 | CBJ 2 - 3 NJD | NJD | CBJ |
| 2025-03-17 | CBJ 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 12 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 1 | CBJ | 17 | 0 | 1.11 |
| 2 | NJD | 12 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | CBJ | 10 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | NJD | 22 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 3 | CBJ | 6 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 4 | NJD | 5 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 4 | CBJ | 4 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 5 | NJD | 3 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 5 | CBJ | 3 | 1 | 0.97 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.7 - 3.3
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