Arizona Coyotes at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-10-31 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

CAR: 64.6%

ARI: 35.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.92

ARI: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	22	1	95.7%	1.77	1	0.77
ARI	K. Vejmelka	39	37	2	94.9%	4.61	4	2.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs ARI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-16	ARI 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-01-27	CAR 3 - 1 ARI	CAR	CAR
2023-03-03	ARI 1 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2022-11-23	CAR 0 - 4 ARI	ARI	CAR
2022-04-18	ARI 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	23	2	1.76
1	ARI	11	1	0.74
2	CAR	19	0	1.49
2	ARI	13	0	0.76
3	CAR	16	2	1.36
3	ARI	5	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6