Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-10-31 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

LAK: 53.8%

BUF: 46.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.13

BUF: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

J. Quick

BUF

D. Tokarski

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	24	22	2	91.7%	1.62	0	-0.38
BUF	D. Tokarski	34	31	3	91.2%	4.48	3	1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	0.67
1	BUF	8	0	0.21
2	LAK	18	1	1.59
2	BUF	9	0	0.65
3	LAK	20	2	2.21
3	BUF	10	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6