New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-10-31 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 54.1%

NYR: 45.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.16

NYR: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	18	15	3	83.3%	2.67	2	-0.33
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	31	1	96.9%	3.88	1	2.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SEA at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	NYR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-01	SEA 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	SEA
2024-12-08	NYR 5 - 7 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-11-17	SEA 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-16	NYR 5 - 2 SEA	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.65
1	NYR	10	0	0.47
2	SEA	20	1	1.57
2	NYR	4	0	0.16
3	SEA	21	0	1.66
3	NYR	13	2	2.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0