Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Nashville Predators (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 54.8%

NSH: 45.2%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.78

NSH: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	22	19	3	86.4%	1.73	0	-1.27
NSH	Juuse Saros	40	38	2	95.0%	4.29	3	2.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	26	2	2.25
1	NSH	12	0	0.71
2	CGY	14	1	1.17
2	NSH	6	0	0.32
3	CGY	15	0	0.77
3	NSH	9	0	0.60
4	CGY	1	0	0.11
4	NSH	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.8 - 3.2