New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 45.7%

NJD: 54.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.80

NJD: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

NJD

J. Bernier

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	28	28	0	100.0%	2.14	1	2.14
NJD	J. Bernier	27	23	4	85.2%	1.96	0	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.60
1	NJD	13	0	0.64
2	ANA	12	0	0.57
2	NJD	15	0	0.59
3	ANA	15	0	0.79
3	NJD	10	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3