Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-11-03 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 61.0%

CBJ: 39.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.38

CBJ: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

J. Johansson

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	J. Johansson	37	32	5	86.5%	2.33	1	-2.67
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	32	28	4	87.5%	2.53	3	-1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL
2024-04-01	CBJ 4 - 1 COL	CBJ	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	1	0.82
1	CBJ	11	1	0.63
2	COL	18	1	1.09
2	CBJ	17	0	0.77
3	COL	7	1	0.62
3	CBJ	15	0	0.88
4	COL	0	0	0.00
4	CBJ	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7